We’ve been battling cold, arctic air throughout the winter… and even this week. Poughkeepsie high temperatures on Monday and Tuesday were 37° and 42° respectively… which is well below the average high of 51°. The evidence of winter’s chill can be seen all the way through the month of March… as the month as a whole is 4.4 degrees below average. But starting on Wednesday, things are about to change…
We’ll see the flow become out of the southwest… and a storm system will push into the Great Lakes region. It will drag a warm front along with it, and that will help temperatures rise to near 50° Wednesday afternoon. However, with the warmth… comes the rain…
The clouds will increase early on Wednesday… and by mid to late afternoon, a line of showers associated with the warm front could push into the Hudson Valley. The highest threat of steady showers, will be in the northern half of the Hudson Valley… but it appears likely that most of us will see some showers Wednesday afternoon. Keep this in mind… as the PM commute could be a damp one, and slick roads could cause some headaches.
The threat of scattered showers, drizzle and fog will last thru the night on Wednesday…
It appears that the steady showers will push east of the region by sunset… and in the wake will be unsettled areas of showers and drizzle. It also seems likely that areas of fog will develop, as milder air surges up over the cold ground. Something to keep in mind if you have travel plans for Wednesday night.
Those conditions will continue into Thursday morning… and fog could be a headache for the AM commute Thursday. After that… the threat of rain will increase thru the day…
While scattered showers are possible all day on Thursday… it appears that during the daylight hours, the Hudson Valley might be spared the worst of the weather. The steadiest and heaviest rain appears poised to stay in NW portions of New York state and Pennsylvania. This would put us in the warm sector of the storm… and allow temperatures to surge into the upper 50s, and possibly near 60.
The front will swing thru the Hudson Valley Thursday night, and that means we’ll see a period of moderate to heavy rain (likely after sunset Thursday). We’ll have to keep tabs on the details as we get closer… but a rainy Thursday night appears likely, and things should gradually clear out for Friday.
We’ve got all the details in the HVW 5 Day Forecast… so please check there for more specifics. We’ll try to have a few updates on Wednesday, as the rain rolls in.
Alright… we’ll see how much of a banter I can have, as the Weather Peanut could wake up at any moment. She usually has her “midnight snack” bottle between 11pm and midnight. That leaves me on call, and if she wakes up… I’ve got to run.
I want to continue to thank you guys for all your awesome support and well wishes for my family and me. Everyone is doing great. The Weather Munchkin is enjoying being a big sister… the Weather Peanut is getting bigger by the day, Mommy is feeling well… just very tired, which is very similar to how I feel. Imagine that.
In terms of the long range weather… Alex and I are beginning to struggle to locate threats of widespread snow. The cold however… we can find plenty of that. We’ll have a brief warm up on Wed and Thu… but after that, it’s back in the tank. The 5 day will tell you everything you need to know. We’ve got this nagging feeling that there’s 1 more snow event to deal with before spring finally… well… springs. But we’ll keep you posted if anything begins to come together.
But for now… I should wrap this up. The Peanut is stirring, and I should get running. Thanks for all the tremendous support. We can’t wait to be able to forecast sunshine and 70 degrees… hang in there, it shouldn’t be too much longer before winter is in the rear view mirror. Have a great Wednesday!