First off… locally, another fine day ahead of us. Tropical Storm Jose is safely off shore, and will just bring a breeze to the Hudson Valley, both on Wednesday, and Thursday.
Our weather for Wednesday and Thursday looks very similar each day… with Jose keeping the pattern locked in place for the time being.
Hurricane Maria Hammers Puerto Rico
As of the 11am advisory, Maria is a strong category 4 hurricane with max sustained winds of 140mph. By all accounts, this will be a completely devastating event for our citizens of Puerto Rico. Here is the last radar image transmitted before the radar went down…
The last time a storm of this magnitude hit the island was in 1929, when the Okeechobee storm hit with a pressure of 929mb and winds of 160mph. Maria made landfall with sustained winds of 155mph, and a pressure of 917mb. The difference between 1929 and today… is millions of dollars of infrastructure and about 2 million people. Population in 1930 was listed as 1,147,150. Today, 3.6 million people live on the island of Puerto Rico. We are afraid of the images we’ll begin to see in the wake of Maria.
For our area, we need to keep watch on Maria, but Tropical Storm Jose is now our best bet on Maria missing the US mainland. Jose will linger through much of the weekend, and begin to interact with Maria as she moves further north. The hope, is that the lower pressures of Jose will begin to influence Maria to move toward it. Maria being the stronger storm… would eventually push Jose out of the way. The process would hopefully take long enough to keep Maria off shore long enough, for a trough to capture Maria, and force it out to sea…
You can see Maria moving up from the south, and it taking the last of the energy away from Jose (at top). Maria would hopefully then get pushed out to sea by a frontal boundary… but the timing will be very important. We’ll have to see how it plays out.