Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with afternoon scattered showers possible, especially in the northern counties… mild and breezy. High in the upper 40s to near 50°. West wind at 5 to 10mph. (Catskills could see wet snow showers, with temps in the upper 30s)
Wednesday Night: A few scattered evening showers, otherwise considerable cloudiness and breezy. Low in the low 30s. West Wind at 5 to 10mph.
Thursday: Clouds mixed with sunshine and breezy. High in the low to mid 40s. NW winds around 10mph.
The Hudson Valley saw a cloud filled day on Tuesday. Low clouds and even some fog dominated our weather. Poughkeepsie reached a high of 44°, and similar temperatures were seen around the area. By late afternoon… showers had moved into the Hudson Valley. As of this post, Poughkeepsie has seen 0.22″ of rain… and Montgomery has seen 0.12″, so just a touch of rain being seen across the region.
Wednesday isn’t looking like the nicest of days, but surely could be worse. The storm departs off to the east, and we see winds shift around to the west / northwest as the day goes on. Temps in the valleys should be quite mild… but the Catskills could see the cold filter in enough to cause some flurries. Things remain slightly unsettled all the way into Thursday… but mostly dry.
By week’s end, things really quiet down for Friday and Saturday… in advance of what could be an approaching storm system for Saturday night and Sunday.
Weekend Storm Potential
Computer models can be cruel. The put a solution out consistently for a couple days, and then begin to pull the rug out from under you. That’s what we’re currently seeing with the storm threat for this weekend. Yesterday… we were seeing a solution that looked something like this:
From the Tuesday Outlook… we discussed the potential for the following 2 Tracks. Track A… which was looking like the more likely solution, hits the Hudson Valley with a significant snow event. Track B… not so much. Well… 1 day after the GFS computer model gave us the image above… it’s now giving us the image below:
What a difference a day makes… and now you understand why you can’t trust anything outside of 5 days. The trouble is… we can’t sound the “all clear” on this event… because it could appear back on the models Wednesday or Thursday. So for now… we track it. Keep in mind that the potential exists, but based on everything we’ve seen… we would probably say the storm is closer to 40% likely to occur. We’ll follow it with you each day.
Hope you have a wonderful Wednesday!