At 9am Monday morning… the temperature in Poughkeepsie was 7°. At 9am on Tuesday morning… the temperature in Poughkeepsie was 53°. That’s a 24 hour temperature change of +46°! Holy Cow! But that’s what you get when a storm in the southeast cuts up to our west, and puts us in the warm sector of the storm. On Wednesday… we’ll finally begin to return to “normal” weather…
Our flow shifts back to the northwest on Wednesday, and that means cooler temps along with a mix of clouds and some sunshine. In actuality, Wednesday’s weather will qualify as quite average for this time of year. Hopefully providing everyone with a chance to recover from the whiplash we’ve gotten in the past few days.
We’re looking a few chilly days ahead, with highs on Thursday and Friday likely holding in the 30s. Before we’ll see milder conditions into the weekend. Complete details can be found on the 5 day forecast…
HVW 5 DAY FORECAST
In terms of our weather the past few days… here is a snowfall map from our Monday night snow:
This updates the map we shared late Monday night, now that we have more data… you can see a widespread 1 to 3 inches was found across the Hudson Valley, and 1.1″ recorded at Poughkeepsie. This brings the season snowfall total in Poughkeepsie all the way up to 4.8″. The lowest season snowfall over the last 25 years, was a whopping 12″ in the 1994-1995 winter. So we’re certainly on pace for a record setting ‘snowless’ winter. But we do have a solid month of winter to go, and the pattern setting up for that time period would suggest that we’ll get enough snow to avoid beating that number.
Storm Threat Next Week?
The winter of desperation continues! As just discussed, snowfall has been non existent this winter, and accordingly… each time a storm threat appears on the models, the rumor mill shifts into full gear. So let’s take a look at the setup…
Our friends at EuroWx have provided us with some European model maps we can show. This is the European model projection for next Wednesday morning… a full week from now. What we’re seeing is a return of arctic air into the United States, and along the arctic boundary, a coastal storm could develop and provide a substantial snow to the northeast. Under the scenario shown above… a significant, 6″+ snowstorm would be possible. As of now… the GFS model and Canadian model don’t have it, but it’s worth noting… the European model just WHOOPED the GFS and Canadian models on this past storm. The European performed with a grade of A+ on this past storm from 5 days out. So it certainly is worth paying attention to this threat as we move forward.
Finally… I just went through some comments from the past storm. Alex and I really appreciate all the amazing feedback you’ve given us the past few days. We strive to keep you ahead of the storm… and when we hear back from you saying that you feel we are doing just that… it makes our day.
We love what we do… and we hope that comes out in our work. But we also want to do everything we can to provide you with vital information to plan your day. So nailing the start times, change over times, snowfall threats, ice concerns… those are things we focus on. Because, it could mean the difference between you getting home just before the storm begins… or having to drive home in the middle of a blinding snowstorm. If we can help you make that decision… we’ve done our job. So thank you all so VERY much, for letting us be a integral part of your day.
On that note… have a great Wednesday!