The sunshine has returned in force, with lots of blue skies and just a few clouds…
Sunshine will mix with some high, fair weather clouds through the day on Tuesday. Our winds have shifted out of the SW and that will pull some milder air into the region. That will translate into above average temperatures for a change. Highs across the valley will likely reach the low to mid 50s. Considering that the month of November has been a chilly one so far… today will probably feel like a very nice day to most of us.
Tonight, we’re watching 2 weather features. A disturbance will form tonight along a coastal boundary, and race northeastward. At the same time, we have an approaching cold front from the west, reaching the Hudson Valley by Wednesday morning.
You can see on this map, that the Hudson Valley is smack in the middle of these features. The end result may be that our region is mostly spared from rainfall from both systems. The coastal disturbance may spread some scattered showers into the lower HV, but it looks like the best chances are in Rockland and Westchester counties. The cold front will see the precipitation weaken as it arrives in our area. So the best chance for scattered rain and snow showers will be in the Catskills.
All together, most of us will only see a few drops of rain… if that. Most of the moisture should pass to our east, and to our north. But despite the limited rainfall amounts… we’ll start our Wednesday out with a lot of cloudiness, before we see increasing sunshine for the afternoon.
Colder air will then push into the Hudson Valley for Wednesday afternoon and Thanksgiving Day. Highs on Thursday, Thanksgiving Day, will only be in the upper 30s to around 40°. The nice thing at least, is that winds should be rather light on Thanksgiving Day. Good news for anyone planning on attending or watching the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day parade. But you’ll definitely want your winter jacket for Thanksgiving Day.
We’ll try to have a more thorough analysis of the overall pattern in the next day or two. Hopefully the approaching holiday will give us a little more time for research. Have a great Tuesday!