Tuesday: Clouds mixed with sun. High in the low to mid 30s. Northwest wind a 5 to 10mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with scattered flurries and snow showers possible after midnight. Low in the upper 10s to low 20s. Wind light and variable.
Wednesday: Clouds mixed with sun, flurries possible, breezy and cold. High in the upper 20s to low 30s. West wind at 5 to 15mph.
Winter returns to the Hudson Valley this week. While we’re not in the grasp of an arctic air mass, we will certainly see some winter time weather.
A few quiet days of weather in store for the Hudson Valley. A weak storm presses out to sea well to our south, with no impact on the Hudson Valley. Then the winds will pick up a bit on Wednesday and Thursday, with a little reinforcing cold air… making it feel even colder. Considering how warm it’s been, this cold air will feel that much colder. If any storms take aim on our area, we’ll let you know. In the mean time, please check the HVW 5 Day Forecast for more details.
Not much to say tonight… other than with another day in the books, we’re no closer to figuring out the details on our storm threat for next weekend. The latest GFS model just came out minutes ago. Here are graphical representations of the latest GFS and European models.
I’ve seen a lot of confidence about the GFS track, and the Hudson Valley warming and raining this weekend. Based on the overall pattern (a positive NAO), the GFS would be the more likely solution. But there are details in play with the northern jet stream, that may override the positive NAO. The NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation), analyzes the upper air pattern over Greenland. In general, a positive NAO causes storms to cut into the Great Lakes, while a negative NAO allows coastal storms to develop. But this ‘rule’ can often be broken… so it bears watching.
I’m going to get some sleep. Snow lovers are getting impatient… and if you’re a snow lover, hopefully you’re reading this. Winter is 8 days old… snowfall is average so far… and a lot of signs point toward a very active January & February. So try and hang in there. See you back here for the Wednesday Outlook.