Monday saw “Red Flag Warnings” issued across the Hudson Valley due to the very dry and breezy conditions that were expected… and unfortunately, several wildfires broke out around the Hudson Valley. Poughkeepsie saw a high temperature of 87°… and much of the HV was in the mid 80s as well. But the humidity was very low… and when combined with the warm SW breeze, the conditions for fires were ideal. On my way home from work Monday evening… I could see the Shawangunk Ridge burning, with smoke billowing off the mountain. It was a very surreal sight, and we can only hope that the fire is now under control. We’ll try to share information on the fires as we go through the day on Tuesday.
While we don’t have any significant rain to speak of… conditions should still improve on Tuesday. The winds should be quite a bit calmer… and humidity levels are expected to be higher. While the fire danger is certainly still elevated… it shouldn’t be as critical as Monday.
We should see a mix of clouds and sunshine across the Hudson Valley, as a weak cold front falls apart just to our north. A spot shower cannot be ruled out… but it appears the most of the moisture with this front will fall apart before reaching our area.
And it will be another warm day as well… as forecast high temperatures are projected to once again be a good 10 degrees above average!
Similar conditions should continue through the week… in terms of very little rainfall, and well above normal temperatures. We waited a long time for spring… and now summer has arrived.
For Complete Forecast Details… HVW 5 Day Forecast
I really should go to sleep… but I want to put this rainfall graphic up first… because it really is quite telling.
Over the last 90 days (roughly Feb., Mar., and Apr.)… the average precipitation in Poughkeepsie is 10.01″. The actual precipitation in that time was 5.76″… which is 57.5% of normal, or basically just over half of what we should see during that period. On the map above, “average” is represented by the color gray (10 inches). Anywhere shaded in red has seen below average precipitation over the past 90 days… with much of the Hudson Valley seeing between 5 and 7 inches of precipitatation (50% to 70% of normal).
So when we have that little rainfall… combined with low humidity, and a strong SW wind, it’s no wonder wildfires broke out across the region on Monday. Hopefully conditions will continue to improve on Tuesday.
Have a great day Hudson Valley… and thanks for supporting HVW!