Tuesday : Hazy, hot and humid. An isolated afternoon thunderstorm possible. High in the upper 80s to near 90°. Heat Index in the low to mid 90s. Chance of rain 40%.
Tuesday Night : Humid with increasing clouds and scattered thunderstorms likely by midnight. Partial clearing by morning. Low in the low 60s. Chance of rain 60%.
Wednesday : Partly cloudy and warm, with much lower humidity. High in the low to mid 80s.
Well, we spent the majority of the summer wondering where the heat and humidity was. I suppose it’s fitting that on Labor Day… the unofficial end of summer… we finally found the heat, and even worse… the humidity. Poughkeepsie hit 87° on Monday, and with the humidity factored in… it felt like the low 90s for a good part of the afternoon. The atmospheric instability was much lower than what we saw on Sunday… so the vast majority of the area stayed dry.
It looks like Tuesday could be very similar to Monday. The latest data as of late Monday night, hints at the idea of a humid but dry Tuesday. A cold front will approach the Hudson Valley on Tuesday, and ahead of it… the southwest wind will allow the heat and humidity to build. Heat indices will be in the low 90s once again, so be sure to stay properly hydrated. But the cold front doesn’t arrive until after sunset on Tuesday, and that means the main thunderstorm threat holds off until after sunset as well. A rogue thunderstorm or two can’t be ruled out during the afternoon… but the majority of the valley should stay dry.
Scattered thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we approach midnight. Even then… it doesn’t appear that everybody will get a thunderstorm. It does look like more than 50% of the valley will receive some much needed rain… but don’t be too surprised if your area misses out on any meaningful rain Tuesday night. These thunderstorms should be non-severe for the most part, but we will track them as they approach, with updates on the HVW Facebook page. Also, remember… the HVW interactive radar is a great tool to use for tracking incoming storms.
Looking toward Wednesday… skies clear out, the humidity drops, but temperatures don’t fall off too much. They’ll drop a few degrees, but likely still hold in the low to mid 80s, which is now about 5 degrees above average… as the daily averages begin to fall as we depart the summer season. We should see a couple warm days with low humidity… before the humidity starts to rise by the end of the work week.
So… we hope you had a great Labor Day weekend. I can comfortably say “we” in this instance, because I’m sure Alex would wish the same for you. When I do my nightly post, I almost always use the word “I” instead of “we”. That’s intentional… because I like to ramble in my postings, and I don’t want to put words in Alex’s mouth when I’m going off on tangents. The forecast itself is always “ours”. Alex and I are in constant contact (thank goodness for unlimited texting)… and we are always formulating forecasts and ideas together. So when I say “I” in the evening posts… it’s only in the context of me telling you about how my day was, or what dumb thing I did that day. The HVW forecast is always a combined effort, and will always be something that both Alex and I contribute to. I just want to make sure everyone understands that… and not mistake my evening rambling for me generating forecasts without Alex being involved.
Anyway… speaking of rambling… that’s enough for one night. Hope you have a great Tuesday. Be sure to stay hydrated… especially if you’re working outside. See you here Tuesday night!