Thursday: Sunshine mixing with clouds. Cooler with a light NW breeze. High in the mid 50s.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy and colder. Low in the mid to upper 30s.
Friday: Increasing clouds with a shower possible by later in the day. High in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 40%.
A rather gray day across the Hudson Valley, as the cold front took it’s sweet time moving thru the area. Poughkeepsie saw a high temperature of 68°, and the rest of the area saw mid 60s for highs as well. Some patchy morning sprinkles, and then showers broke out during the afternoon. Rainfall amounts were quite light, less than 0.10 in most of the valley… however, when you head up into Sullivan County, and the Catskills, up to a half inch of rain fell. Largely due to the fact that the front stalled out for a period of time, prolonging the showers in the mountains.
The Next 36 hours
Skies should clear up a bit on Thursday, but the chill will be very noticeable. Temps won’t get passed the mid 50s and a light breeze may just add to the chill in the air. A seasonably cold night on tap for Thursday night, with much of the area in the mid to upper 30s. By Friday morning, we’re seeing clouds on the increase, and a chance of showers forming in the afternoon. Not the nicest weather, but mainly dry, and near normal for this time of year.
Weekend Storm Outlook – Update
The computer models are converging on an idea, and it’s appearing less likely that we’ll see any snow in the Hudson Valley. While we can’t sound the ‘all clear’ just yet… the story for our weekend weather will be the cold and wind, which will make it feel like winter is in the air.
The models have really deepened the trough (jet stream dip) in the past few days. 48 hours ago, the storm was centered just south of Rhode Island, and it’s now digging all the way down to North Carolina. Under this scenario, the moisture is mainly south of the Hudson Valley. Also, the cold air remains in Canada, until the storm intensifies and pulls away. As you can see, just a few scattered rain showers now look possible for the Hudson Valley, with temps in the mid to upper 40s. Eastern New England stands in line for a big storm… but if things play out as shown above, cold and breezy will be the story for our area this weekend.
That said… if the trough (jet stream dip) isn’t quite as intense… and the low pressure only digs down to Delaware or southern NJ, it could be a much different story for the Hudson Valley… but again, not likely. Should the ideas change, we’ll be the first to let you know.
Time for me to put my feet up for a few minutes and relax. I can’t remember the last time I just chilled out before bed. Alex and I spent so many nights working on the Winter Outlook, and then as soon as we finished that, this storm threat emerged. And while it’s a blast to come and chat. So with things looking a bit less ominous at the moment, I’m going to take advantage and watch the last few innings of the World Series. We really appreciate all the support of late, things have been very busy… and you guys keep us going. So on that note… hope your Thursday is a good one!