Thursday: A few early morning scattered showers, otherwise mostly cloudy, windy and warm. High in the upper 40s to low 50s. Winds west at 10 to 20mph with gusts to 35mph.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy and breezy. Low in the low 30s. West Wind at 5 to 10mph, becoming light and variable by morning.
Friday: Clouds giving way to a good deal of sunshine, and mild. High in the mid to upper 40s. Light west wind around 5mph.
Christmas Eve turned out just as expected… for the most part. Low clouds, fog and drizzle were found across the region, and from late morning thru the afternoon… we saw periods of steady light rain. The real surprise for the day, has been the lack of moderate to heavy rain. Virtually all data was pointing to 1 to 2 inches of rain, but as of this post, Poughkeepsie has only seen 0.24″ and Montgomery only 0.31″.
With flash flood watches posted for Ulster, Dutchess, Columbia and Greene counties… this storm has been quite a bust. We still have the frontal boundary rainfall to contend with, but hardly enough rainfall to cause flooding concerns at this point. Yes, it was definitely soggy… but hardly the heavy rain that was projected.
High pressure builds into the Ohio Valley behind the storm, and Christmas Day is looking very blustery. Clouds should allow for some breaks of sun, so cross your fingers. Additionally, the temperatures will be mild for this time of year, in the mid to upper 40s.
That high pressure should keep us dry, right into the weekend. Friday and Saturday look rather nice for this time of year. So if you have outdoor plans, you’re in luck.
Looking further down the road… it’s a big question mark at this point. There is some colder air on the way, that much is certain… but that’s not saying much, considering the current warmth. There are some major questions that need to be answered with regard to the upper air pattern. The Pacific jet stream continues to keep the pattern milder than the computer data suggests, so hopefully we’ll get some concrete answers soon. But the pattern does appear poised to return temperatures to more typical of what we’d expect for this time of year.
On behalf of myself and Alex, I want to wish you a very Merry Christmas! For me, it’s been an awesome first 6 months with HVW, and I’m looking so forward to what the future holds. We’re going to have a lot of fun! Speaking of fun, the Weather Munchkin is feeling much better, not 100%… but good enough to fully enjoy the day’s events on Christmas with family. That’s all I wanted for Christmas. So I better get to sleep so I can fully enjoy it! Hope you have a great Thursday, and if you’re observing… a very Merry Christmas!