After some picture perfect weather on Wednesday… Thursday we begin to turn the heat up a little bit…
A strong ridge of high pressure is parked over the Atlantic Ocean… and that generates a flow out of the southwest for the Hudson Valley. In the month of June… a southwest flow means only one thing, heat. That will be the case on Thursday, as the mercury will rise to some of the highest levels so far in 2015. Much of the area will be right around 90°… which is around 10 degrees above average for this time of year.
In terms of sunshine… we should see a fair amount on Thursday…
A weak boundary will push into the Hudson Valley early on Thursday. As of this post (Wednesday Night), this boundary has some strong to severe thunderstorms associated with it, up near Canada. But those storms will fizzle and weaken, as the boundary also weakens. The result on Thursday… could be the boundary stalling over our area. That could provide a few more clouds, and make for slightly more humid conditions southern areas… while the Catskills may enjoy much less humid air. Even with this boundary stalling… Thursday should see a bit more sunshine than clouds… and in general, a nice summer-like day.
As we push toward the weekend, another frontal system will approach from the northwest on Friday.
The storm will be well to our northwest (in the Great Lakes)… but the influence of that storm, will combine with the southwest flow created by the High pressure, and give us some instability in the Hudson Valley. Some isolated… pop up thunderstorms are possible, but they should be the exception rather than the rule. Temperature wise… a very similar day to Thursday (near 90°)… and higher humidity levels.
That disturbance becomes a factor in our weekend weather, likely giving us some rain showers and thundershowers on Saturday. The details are still very foggy, but keep posted for more as we get closer. Sunday… looks outstanding, with sunshine and lower humidity. We just need to figure out whether Saturday will feature clouds and some scattered PM T-storms… or if it’s a widespread soaking rain event. As of this post… it looks more scattered… and less likely to be a widespread soaker. But keep posted.
For complete details… please check out the HVW 5 Day Forecast.
Stay cool out there, HV… and have a great Thursday!!