Thursday: Mostly cloudy to start then turning party sunny . High in the mid 30s. Winds light and variable.
Thursday Night: A few clouds early… clearing skies late. Low in the mid teens. Winds light and variable.
Friday: Partly Cloudy. High in the low 30s. Winds light and variable.
In the wake of the Wednesday clipper system that passed to our south… parts of the area saw a dusting of snow. Now things quiet down for a couple days. Thursday’s weather map is shown above… and you can see, not much to talk about. It’s quiet… mostly cloudy, with possibly a spotty flurry. Friday we’ll see a bit more sun, but both Thursday and Friday will see afternoon temperatures near normal for this time of year, in the low to mid 30s.
For complete forecast details, please check out the HVW 5 Day Forecast.
Weekend Storm Threat
Now for the real reason you’re here… lets take a look at the coming weekend.
A very impressive storm system will develop of the east coast this weekend. As is always the case with these events, the major challenge will be to iron out the exact track of the storm. Where the storm tracks, will have major implications on the exact weather we see in the Hudson Valley.
If the current GFS model is correct, the storm just clips the southern portions of the Hudson Valley… resulting in a 1 to 3 inch snow event there… and possibly missing the northern half of the area all together. But the European model paints a bit of a different picture.
The European model is projecting the storm to track 50 to 100 miles closer to the coast than the GFS model. This would result in a significant shift in the moisture shield… potentially blanketing the entire HV in a moderate snowfall.
Current thinking, is that the computer models have not finished their usual “wobbles” that they go through with coastal storms. At this point, you can’t get hung up on any particular computer model run… we’re just focusing on trends. The trend is bringing this storm system closer to the coast, and pulling the snow band further into the Hudson Valley. We are concerned that we could be looking at a significant event for Saturday… but we’ll continue to track it closely. The storm is going to form… the key is “location, location, location”. Exactly where this storm tracks… will mean the difference between 1 to 3 inches… and possibly over 6″.
Ugh… what a past 36 hours it’s been. I’m not sure what I got… but I was rocked Tuesday night by some sort of “bug”. I tried to give it a go on Wednesday… but had to spend the day in bed. So after sleeping all day, I’m wide awake at 2am (go figure). I’m feeling “better”… but that’s all relative to just how rotten I felt Wednesday morning. It’s so nice to be part of a team… that’s all I’m going to say. On that note… keeping this part really short tonight, even though I’m feeling much better… I want to get as much rest as possible, and kick this thing ASAP. Have a great Thursday, everyone.