Thursday: Cloudy with scattered showers, especially during the morning. High in the upper 40s to near 50°. Chance of rain 60%.
Thursday Night: A scattered shower in the evening, otherwise cloudy and damp with clearing skies well after midnight. Low in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of rain 40%.
Friday: Clouds mixed with sunshine, becoming windy and chilly. High in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Wednesday was another mild day across the Hudson Valley. Poughkeepsie and Montgomery both had a high of 63°, which is about 5 degrees above average. The month of November is off to a warm start… but some drastic changes are on the way over the next week or two, more on that in a moment.
Thursday looks unsettled and damp. A low pressure approaches from the west, and begins to strengthen off the east coast Thursday night. However, before it can intensify… it passes thru our area without much in the way of rain.
By mid morning on Thursday, the rain is struggling to push into the Hudson Valley due to some dry air. Eventually, some showers will make their way into the area, but rainfall amounts are looking much lower than originally projected a couple days ago. Expect periods of showers during the morning and lasting into the early afternoon, before tapering off around sunset. Total rainfall amounts are projected to be up to 0.25″.
Things dry out on Friday, but some strong winds kick up, so expect a chilly and gusty close to the work week. The weekend looks to start decent on Saturday, with some sunshine, it just looks a bit chilly (near 50°). By Sunday, a weak cold front approaches with some clouds and light showers. It may even be cool enough for snow showers up in the Catskills. Sunday could be a bit of a raw day… so we’ll watch as it gets closer.
Long Range Outlook
Ok… here it is. You may have heard the rumors by now, and if not… it’s time to face the truth. Winter is coming… and it’s coming early this year. Typhoon Nuri in the Pacific is going to lose it’s tropical characteristics and move into the arctic. That energy will then help to usher an arctic outbreak into the eastern half of the US by the middle of next week. This appears to be a multi-day event, beginning roughly Wednesday of next week. How cold are we talking??
Keeping in mind this model image displays the temperature in degrees Celsius, we are looking at a 5 day period (or more) of temperatures that are roughly between 5° and 12° Fahrenheit below average. The average High for mid November is 53° and the average low is 31°. That means we’re looking at possible highs near 40°… and night time lows around 20°. Temperatures that are more typical of late December. It goes without saying that we’re watching this closely… but we’re sharing this with you now, because the cold is coming… it’s just a matter of the details that go with it.
Stay dry, and have a great Thursday, Hudson Valley!