Thursday : Clouds and drizzle during the morning, some breaks of sun possible by late afternoon. High in the mid 60s.
Thursday Night : Clearing skies and turning cool. Low in the low to mid 40s.
Friday : Partly cloudy and seasonable. High near 70°.
A cool fall day across the Hudson Valley on Wednesday. Poughkeepsie reached a high of 65° under mostly cloudy skies with periods of drizzle and even a few scattered showers. Rainfall of 0.12″ was recorded as well, and across the area… a general 0.10″ to 0.15″ of rain fell. Not much in the grand scheme of things, but any rain is welcome at this point. In the morning Facebook post I used the word “ugly” to describe the day… which many fans understandably disagreed with. We definitely need the rain… but with so little measurable rain expected, in combination with the chilly air, “ugly” was the first word that came to mind. But for lovers of cool, damp, gray days… Wednesday was a home run.
Those same people might find Thursday appealing as well. The same disturbance over the Atlantic Ocean that left us damp and gray on Wednesday, will linger on Thursday. The first half of Thursday looks very similar to what we saw on Wednesday, a lot of clouds… chilly air… as well as patchy drizzle. By afternoon… the disturbance should move east, and we may see some peeks of sun by late in the day. Friday looks quite good at the moment… with partly cloudy skies and temps that should approach 70°.
Weekend Outlook (update)
The latest computer data hasn’t changed much in the past 24 hours. Below is a snapshot of the latest GFS computer model, representing 2pm on Saturday:
This computer model image has not changed much in the past 24 hours. That really drives confidence levels up on the timing of the event. This image shows the Hudson Valley receiving up to a half inch of rain. The timing of the rain continues to be important to many of us with plans this weekend. Current thinking is that the steadiest rain is mid to late morning… and things begin to taper off during the early afternoon. If you’re looking at this map, and thinking… “at 2pm, it looks like the rain is directly over us.”, let me explain. This computer model image shows the total rainfall expected in the 6 hours ending at 2pm. So the fact that the darkest greens (heaviest rains) are over the Hudson Valley… means that the heaviest rain is expected between 8am and 2pm. Just a little clarification for those of you who may be scratching your head when I say tapering off in the early afternoon. We’ll continue to track this Thursday night… but the confidence is pretty high at this point.
On that note… it’s 12:30am, and I need to get to sleep. Hope your Thursday is an excellent one!