When a humid summer air mass gets stuck in the Hudson Valley, you might end up with 4 or 5 straight days of dense fog. That’s what we’ve got for our Sunday…
For yet another day, we’re facing a mild, foggy start to our day. The fog will burn off, but the humidity will stick around. As we saw on Saturday, Sunday will likely feature a mix of clouds and sunshine during the afternoon. Winds will be rather calm out of the northeast, and dew points will continue to be in the mid 60s. With afternoon highs around 80°, and the elevated dew points, our slightly sticky summer feel will continue. Expect these conditions to continue into Monday as we start the work week.
From there, our attention is focused on Hurricane Jose, and what the possible impacts to our area could be.
Hurricane Jose Update
Hurricane Jose is pretty much holding course at this point. It continues to be a low end category 1 storm, with maximum winds around 80mph. It hasn’t moved too far from yesterday’s position, but it is tracking northward at a slow 8mph clip. You can see by the NWS projection, that Jose is expected to continue northward, before gradually shifting NE and remaining off shore.
So first off, we don’t expect Hurricane Jose to make a landfall at this time. It does seem likely to stay off shore. In addition, as it continues to track slowly, once it reaches the cooler waters north of North Carolina, it will weaken the storm.
Once it reaches the cooler waters, the pressure may begin to rise, and the maximum sustained winds will begin to decrease. But when Jose weakens, it should expand the wind field outward. That means we could see some rather gusty winds by Tuesday. Here is the most aggressive solution at the moment, with the European Model projected wind gusts…
This map may not look that ominous (and it’s not truly)… but anywhere you see green on this map, is where the European model is projecting tropical storm wind gusts of 39mph or greater. Down on Long Island, the gusts are projected into the 60mph range… almost nearing hurricane force in spots.
So even with this storm staying off shore, it could impact our weather locally. Now, if Jose follows the latest GFS model’s idea… and is another 100 miles east, our winds would be much less, and we likely would see little (if any) rainfall. So we do have some uncertainty left to contend with. You’ll want to keep tabs on this with us.
In terms of the oceans… well, lets just say this is a really bad week to be off the east coast of the US.
As Jose moves north, you can see that it just makes a mess of the seas. Waves between 15 and 35 feet all the way up the coast. Anyone who had plans at the beach, or even worse an east coast cruise, will be greatly disappointed… as plans end up cancelled or rerouted. With Jose moving so slowly, it’s got plenty of time to disrupt the seas.
So even if Jose doesn’t cause major problems locally in the Hudson Valley… it will influence our weather. Coastal areas are bracing for beach erosion and coastal flooding. Jose has been a major headache for over a week… and it looks like he will continue to be for at least a few more days.