Sunday: Mostly cloudy and quite cold. High in the low to mid 40s.
Sunday Night: Cloudy and cold with wet snow likely around midnight. Wet snow quickly mixing with and changing to rain in the valley. Low in the low to mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 80%. Snow accumulation of a coating to an inch, mainly on unpaved surfaces.
Monday: Cloudy and cold, with periods of rain. High in the low 40s. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
I just looked at all the data, and came to a realization… we’re not going to see temperatures at or above average for the next 10 days. The cold is here early this year. Saturday was sure proof of that… with the day as a total 10° degrees below average, and a wind that just sent the chill to your bone.
Sunday is another cold day… and could feel worse than Saturday, because clouds will dominate the sky. But the real story is the storm that’s moving in our direction for Sunday night and Monday.
Storm Details: Wet snow should break out from SW to NE between 10pm and 2am Sunday night, but temperatures will likely be 32° – 36°, so accumulations should be confined to unpaved surfaces like grass. Also… around 2am or 3am, the temperatures at cloud level (850mb for you weather nerds) will rise above freezing. A strong southerly flow at the mid-levels of the atmosphere will change any wet snow over to liquid rain. From there, we’ll see periods of rain thru most of Monday… and the European computer model has much of the area around 1 inch of rain, so it could be quite a soggy day.
Accumulations: A slushy coating to 1″ is possible in the valley locations. Much like Thursday night into Friday morning, some locations will see next to nothing… and others could see a good wet snow for a couple hours. In the Catskills… snow could hold on for quite a bit longer. Always a tough call in situations like these, but a solid 3 to 6 inches seems reasonable based on expected temps and moisture.
The real story is what comes after the storm…
You’re reading that correct, folks. Tuesday’s high temperature will come before sunrise, as the arctic cold front pushes thru before dawn… and the core of the cold pours into the Hudson Valley. Temps will plunge quickly thru the 30s and spend much of the afternoon below freezing. Tuesday will feel like the heart of winter… mid January… I don’t care how you spin it, it will be COLD! Wednesday is a touch better, and we start to slowly improve as the week progresses, but the entire week is below normal.
Well… now that I have shared with you all this good news, I’m going to call it a night. Alex and I will have updates on Sunday as necessary… as this storm system approaches, and we see things begin to play out. Thanks again for all of the tremendous support following our trip to Clear Channel on Friday. It was a great time for us… we really loved it. Alright, gotta get some sleep before the next storm. See you on Sunday!