A line of storms over western NY as of 930PM will continue to push Southeast towards our region over the next few hours. Latest guidance shows that this line will enter the Northwestern parts of our region around midnight tonight, and clear the Southeastern parts of our regions by 430AM. These storms may contain damaging winds, one of the images below is a projected radar image for 1AM which shows a classic “bowing” signature to the the line of storms, this signature is generally associated with strong winds. Probably a good night to have a back up alarm clock if you are an early riser. This line of storms will also contain hail, heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. Tornadoes are not generally associated with with lines of storms, and more typically form within single celled storms, so while you can never let your guard down during overnight severe weather, the probability of a tornado is low. We are also continuing to lose the instability of daytime heating which will also continue to lessen the threat as these storm track SE.
A look at the current radar clearly shows the approaching line of storms, along with all the watches and warning boxes out ahead of it. Please visit the live radar portion of our page to track these storms as they approach the region, you can interact with the radar via the tool bar or my clicking on the radar.
The below image is from the HRRR Model, showing a simulated radar image for 1AM, note the bowing shape to the line of storms as it enters the Hudson Valley.