Today we will be monitoring the potential for severe weather to impact parts of the region once again. While the set up is not as potent as it was last weekend, there are some similarities. A cold front is racing towards the region, out ahead of it we have above average temps, but not quite as warm as last week. This storm system is responsible for a very rough evening of severe weather across the Midwest/Ohio Valley region.
As the front approaches our region we will need to monitor upstream data and reports, while also monitoring the amount of surface heating we can get from the sun this afternoon. Currently a moist flow ahead of the front has the region locked in cloud cover, if this cloud cover can persist it will diminish the threat for severe weather as instability will be minimal. Also most of the high resolution forecast guidance keeps the bulk of the heaviest congestion to our south (possibly seeing the cloud cover). Either way we should be aware of the threat of strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening, storms may contain hail,damaging winds, frequent lightning, heavy rain and even an isolated tornado can’t be completely ruled out. Before the severe threat can materialize we will have a period of heavy rain and thunder to deal with this morning, guidance and radar show a batch of steady rain impacting the region around mid morning, this morning rain event may also help reduce the severe weather threat later in the afternoon.
The other side of this frontal passage will be the wind, after last weekends event we are sure that most aren’t happy to hear this news along with the severe weather threat. Let’s keep our fingers crossed that a lack of instability keeps the frontal passage marked only with some heavy rain so we can more easily contend with the post frontal winds that are a definite. Wind advisories are in effect for the entire region, winds gusting to 50 mph are possible during the overnight into Thursday. This will also usher in much colder air with temps by Thursday lingering into the 40’s and becoming colder yet by Friday. This colder air will be reinforced by a clipper system on Friday that looks to bring with it the opportunity for some light snow showers on Friday as well.
We will once again go through a few different seasons of the the next 24 hours so get ready for another roller coaster. Please stay tuned for updates on any storms that do develop and be prepared for power outages and hazardous conditions these storms may produce if they do in fact develop, also be prepared that widespread winds may cause power outages as well during the overnight into tomorrow. Thanks.