The HVW forecast has just about remained unchanged since about 4AM yesterday, so I apologize for some of the details becoming redundant it’s a blessing to not have to flip flop the forecast every 6 hours, but becomes difficult finding new topics to discuss! Minor tweaks to the snowfall forecast.
•We are on the fringes of this storm, conditions worsen as you travel south and east through the HV
•Snow begins from SW to NE between 10AM-1PM (Timing will be tricky due to the dry air)
•Sharp gradient in the precipitation means accumulations range from only a coating across the Northern zones up to 10 inches across the southern zones (Accumulation map on link has accumulations by location)
•Wind Chill Warning and Wind Chill Advisories are in place, as the storm develops and deepens winds will combine with temps in the single digits and teens resulting in wind chills below zero, wind chills this low can cause frost bite on exposed skin in under 30 minutes
•Winds will also create areas of blowing and drifting snow resulting in low to near zero visibility at times
•Worst part of the storm will occur from this evening through 3AM, snow tapers off before day break tomorrow
•Area from Kingston to interstate 84 continues to be the “bust” zone, basically this is the area that would be the most impacted by a shift in the storm track or intensity. The accumulation forecast for this area could easily exceed the current forecast or barely achieve the current forecast. Any adjustments needed to the forecast will occur as needed, we will monitor the track,intensity and incoming data in order to stay on top of any changes that may be needed.
•Zones 8 and 9 may see localized amounts that exceed the forecast, especially the southern and easternmost parts of these zones this will depend highly on any banding that sets up
•Early Wednesday this storm will likely go through Bombogenesis, meaning the storms central pressure will drop 24MB + in 24 hours, meaning an all out blizzard for coastal New England
Updated Snowfall Forecast-
(Not many changes)