Dense fog will kick off our Saturday, but we’ll see that burn off by mid morning… and leave us with a decent Saturday.
Clouds will mix with sunshine during the day on Saturday. Winds will be rather calm and changeable, and that means that the air mass left in the wake of Irma’s remnants will not leave in a hurry. So the warm, rather sticky feel, that we have had the past few days… will be with us on Saturday, and into Sunday as well. Expect afternoon highs across the valley near, or a degree or two above 80°. Dew points will be in the mid 60s, which is not oppressive… but it’s a bit sticky for sure.
A spot shower or thundershower can’t be ruled out in one or two spots… but they look to be very limited in number. Here is a map showing the total rainfall through midnight tonight.
You’ll notice that there are only a few spotty areas that are expected to see a spot shower or storm. But since we cannot pinpoint those few areas, everyone should be alert to the possibility of a brief rain delay this afternoon. Otherwise… it should be a great day!
Hurricane Jose Update
Hurricane Jose is shaping up to be a major headache over the next few days… but not likely as big of a headache as some outlets might suggest, outlets that rhyme with “feather panel”, or “schmether shmannel”. Hurricane Jose is currently a low end category 1 hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 80mph. Jose has stalled out over the last few days, as the trough created by the remnants of Hurricane Irma blocked it’s path westward. Now that Irma’s remnants have exited… Jose will begin pushing north as projected by the National Hurricane Center in the image above.
The issue, is that the steering currents in southern Canada may not capture Jose and push it out to sea. If the connection with the next trough is missed, as it looks like it may, Hurricane Jose could stall out off the coast of New England by mid week next week. If that happens, it could drift back toward the coast as another Canadian trough might interact with it. The timing on this would be Wednesday to Friday of this coming week.
HOWEVER… with that out of the way, let us be very clear. Hurricane Jose will not impact the northeast as a major hurricane. It may strengthen over the next couple days, as it moves over warm water. But our thoughts are that it peaks out as a category 2 hurricane, with winds up to 100mph or 110mph. But that will be when the system is east of North Carolina. As the storm pushes north… it will run into MUCH COOLER waters.
If Jose tracks as expected, it will enter much cooler water off the Mid Atlantic coast. If Jose is a slow moving system, like expected, it will begin to weaken considerably. So if it reaches that region as a category 1 hurricane, it will become a tropical storm rather quick… and the winds will begin to weaken.
Jose has plenty of potential to be a headache, and cause considerable beach erosion and coastal flooding. Coastal areas from NJ to Cape Cod need to pay close attention, as at minimum this would be like a strong winter nor’easter. If it makes landfall, it would be rather disruptive, with some damage possible. But Hurricane Jose will NOT be a major hurricane, that causes damage anything like what we’ve seen with Irma or Harvey. We just want to be clear with the difference.
Have a great Saturday!