Saturday: Sunshine mixed with clouds… chilly, with a slight SW breeze. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Saturday Night: Increasing clouds, with a few spotty showers possible after midnight. Low in the upper 30s to low 40s.
Sunday: Morning clouds mixing with increasing sunshine. High in the low 50s.
A mostly gray end to the work week in the Hudson Valley, and slightly cool temps as well… below is an almanac we’ve put together, based on Poughkeepsie statistics. We know many of you would like to see statistics for other locations as well, but Poughkeepsie has the best historical data in the Hudson Valley. We’ll share it from time to time, just so you can see where things stand.
The weekend is looking fairly tranquil, just a bit chilly. Both Saturday and Sunday should feature a fair amount of sunshine… with Saturday night shaping up to be the cloudiest time, with a few spotty showers possible. We’ll see afternoon highs that are about 5 degrees below average for the early part of November.
But once we get through the weekend, we’ve got some major changes coming our way. We start the work week off with a nice warm up, with afternoon highs around 60° (5 to 10 degrees above average):
The southwest flow will be a welcome change across the Hudson Valley (circled)… but it doesn’t last. A cold front will push through the Hudson Valley on Wednesday… and it likely won’t have much precipitation associated with it. But it will shift the winds to the northwest, and set up a cold, arctic flow… that will filter down more and more each day. By Friday, a much different look across the eastern half of the United States…
A widespread cold becomes locked into the United States, and it is in no hurry to leave. The cold likely lasts thru next weekend as well… and possibly beyond. Once the cold air settles into the Northeast, the chance for snow begins to rise dramatically… and that also applies to the Hudson Valley.
Potential First Snow Event
We have alluded to the potential for a few days. The conditions are favorable, and the data continues to support the potential, so it’s time to discuss the threat of the Hudson Valley’s first snowfall of the season. This GFS computer model run suggests the potential for a significant winter storm in the Friday / Saturday time frame next week. Once the arctic boundary slides through Wednesday, a wave of low pressure will likely form along that boundary to our south. As we have seen 3 times in the past 3 weeks… there is the potential that the low pressure could explode over the warm waters off the east coast. The graphic above tells the story. We are 7 days away from this threat… but Alex and I feel the threat is real enough that it is worth discussing. As is always the case with coastal storms… the track will be extremely important, so we will follow it closely over the coming days.
Ok… as you will be able to tell from the time stamp at the top of this post… it’s time for me to go to bed. Hope you have a great start to your weekend… and thanks so much for all your support!