12pm Storm Update
The radar shows that the bulk of the steady precipitation has moved east of the Hudson River at this hour, and will continue to press northeast over the next hour or two. That should leave the Hudson Valley cloudy with a scattered rain shower or two possible through much of the afternoon.
We’re watching a line of showers and thunderstorms that are just beginning to develop over eastern Ohio. They are projected to march east, toward the Hudson Valley, during the afternoon and reach our area at some point between 6pm and 10pm on average. They could provide a period of moderate to heavy rain, and even a few rumbles of thunder… but we’ll have to see how well they hold together after sunset.
We’ll have additional updates later today, but for now… it appears the steady rain is coming to an end across the Hudson Valley. Have a good afternoon!
(original post below)
For the year so far… rainfall in 2015 is running between 2 and 3 inches below average. Monday, we’ll try and put a dent in that deficit.
By sunrise on Monday, an area of steady rain should be approaching the Hudson Valley. That will put a damper on the AM commute, so be sure to use appropriate caution and leave a little extra time. You can see an area of heavy rain expected to move toward the HV, and we expect the rain to fall heavy at times into the late morning…
By late morning, the moderate to heavy rain will likely still be falling across the HV. This batch of rainfall should begin to slowly exit the region during the mid afternoon hours, leaving scattered showers in the wake. The action quiets down toward the evening commute, as we should have mainly cloudy skies, with a few showers possible. With a little luck, the PM commute will be better than the morning. But we’re not totally out of the woods just yet…
A broken line of strong thunderstorms is expected to form off to our west… but as it progresses toward the Hudson Valley, it will likely weaken… giving us just a risk of a few isolated thundershowers. While the atmosphere is expected to become rather unstable during the day off to our west… here in the Hudson Valley, the cooler temps and rainfall during the day should help stabilize the atmosphere enough to limit the severe threat. With that said, the NWS does have the HV under a marginal risk, so it is something we will keep our eye on, and let you know if anything develops.
As we just mentioned, temperatures on Monday look to remain on the cool side…
You can see the Hudson Valley expected to be trapped in the mid 50s, while off to our southwest (where the storm threat is higher)… the highs are expected to crack 70°. The low clouds and heavy rain during the first 2/3 of the day should keep temps on the chilly side.
After midnight Monday night, things should begin to dry out for the most part… and we should see some considerable improvements by Tuesday. For more details… please check out the HVW 5 Day Forecast.
Just a quick note… because I haven’t been doing the ‘banter’ section lately. As fans of this section (where I talk about my personal life) are aware… I’ve got my hands full these days. Between HVW, my day job, and most importantly my family… free time is coming up short. My 2 beautiful… (yes, I’m biased)… daughters have my undivided attention until they go to sleep. That doesn’t leave a lot of time… and I have to get to the point quickly. So… I just wanted to quickly let you know that the family is doing fantastic, we’re just all a bit tired. And since my daughters will likely be awake in 4 or 5 hours… I’m going to steal a few hours of sleep.
Thank you SO MUCH for all the support you’ve shown Alex and I the past several months. You literally have kept us going. Have a great Monday… stay dry!