Sunday was an ugly day across the Hudson Valley… at least in terms of the weather. Sure, sunshine mixed with clouds… but the sun was about the only positive weather feature to speak of. The high temperature in Poughkeepsie was 40°, but that was recorded just after midnight… as temperatures were still falling. Afternoon temperatures were frozen in the low and mid 30s across the Hudson Valley… and thanks to the strong NW wind… wind chills were in the upper teens and low 20s.
It’s gotten so bad across the Hudson Valley this winter… that many fans on Facebook commented about how Sunday “wasn’t too bad”. Well… I suppose when we just had the coldest February on record, that anything that comes after doesn’t seem too bad. The reality is… afternoon highs should be near 50°, and night time lows should be in the upper 20s. So while the temps might not feel “horrible”… we’re talking about weather that is nearly 20 degrees below average for this time of year… as far below average, as February’s temps.
Short Range Forecast
So what does Monday have in store for us??
Well… if that looks just about as rotten as Sunday to you… that’s because it is. Afternoon temperatures are expected to be in the low and mid 30s again across the Hudson Valley, and the only bright spot will be the bright spot in the sky… the sun. We should have plenty of sunshine on Monday, it just won’t do much for the air temperatures. The wind will begin to diminish as the day wears on… but we’ll still have wind chills in the 20s. Another mid January day… smack dab in the last week of March.
Things will begin to improve a bit on Tuesday, as we should hit 40°… and then our next weather maker approaches on Wednesday.
High pressure will push off the east coast, and that will allow for a warm southwest flow. It will also allow a low pressure system to push toward the northeast. The bulk of the rain likely stays to our north… but we could get in on some showers late in the day Wednesday, and Wednesday night. The big thing you’ll notice about Wednesday… will be the milder temperatures. Temps could break 50° Wednesday… something that could have some HV residents dancing in the streets (we wouldn’t blame you after this winter).
By Thursday… the dancing in the streets may become a full fledged ticker tape parade… as a surging SW flow could push temperatures over the 60 degree mark! The downside? Rain. It appears likely that a wave of low pressure will develop and push into the northeast on Thursday… spreading showers… and even periods of steady, moderate rain into the Hudson Valley.
Beyond that… a return to the chill. The pattern we’re in for the next several weeks, will have lots of ups and downs. We’ll have warm ups like Wednesday and Thursday… but the theme will be a return to the arctic chill. We’ll close with 2 maps… these are the projected temperatures compared to average. The first is the 5 day period from Fri. March 27th – Wed. April 1st… and the second image is the 5 day period from Wed. April 1st – Mon. April 6th.
You can see that the state of NY and the Hudson Valley in both images… are in the green color, or 5°C below average. That translates into roughly 10°F below average… for the next 15 days, right thru Easter. This winter is going out kicking and screaming, ladies and gentlemen. Hang in there, Hudson Valley… the end is within sight, just a little ways to go.