– 4pm Radar Update –
We have some showers and thunderstorms that have formed over the northwestern parts of the Hudson Valley within the last hour. The cell just NW of Monticello is rather strong, but not yet severe warned. These storms all have the potential of strengthening to severe levels, so we will continue to monitor the situation. Storms may contain strong (possibly damaging) wind gusts, heavy downpours, and possibly small hail.
The line of showers and thunderstorms is moving to the east, and the storm cells within the band are moving NE. Areas from Monticello, to Ellenville, Kingston, Saugerties, Catskill, Port Jervis, should all keep an eye to the sky, and an eye on the radar as well.
HVW Interactive Radar:
(Click “advisories” button above the radar to view complete radar)
ORIGINAL POST – Monday Outlook : Daytime Sun, Evening Storm Threat
After yet another fantastic weather weekend… we’ll see some changes to start the work week…
We’ll see a good deal of sunshine for the morning… and some high clouds increase during the afternoon. It’s another warm one across the Hudson Valley, and unlike previous days… we should see the humidity creep up just a bit. It’s not looking oppressively humid, but compared to the weekend… it could be a bit more muggy.
That sets the stage for a potential line of thunderstorms near or after sunset Monday..
You can see on this futurecast image for 8pm… the timeline on the arrival would be anytime from 6pm to 10pm on average. Updates on the timing of the threat will be shared as the situation develops. The computer data has that the line of storms projected to be strongest to our north. It even suggests the storms could weaken over the HV. Even with the data pointing toward some weakening of the storms… the National Weather Service does have the NW portion of the Hudson Valley in an elevated risk of Severe Thunderstorms…
The areas in yellow are projected to have roughly a 15% chance of a severe thunderstorm within 25 miles of their location. The remainder of the area is slightly lower around a 5% chance for severe weather. While these numbers may seem low… with severe thunderstorm threats, this is definitely an elevated threat… that we will monitor.
Tuesday we transition from warm and muggy… to seasonably cool and dry. By Wednesday, things are looking very comfortable in the Hudson Valley. For complete forecast details, please check out the…
HVW 5 DAY FORECAST
We hope you had a great weekend… and we will share updates as relevant and necessary. Have a nice Monday!