– Late Monday Night Radar Update –
This has been the question with this system… just how far north does the snow make it, before the cold, dry air shuts it down. Between now and the morning commute, expect areas of light snow showers (especially near and south of I-84). Some of our northern viewers (north of Poughkeepsie) won’t see anything but a few stray snowflakes. So make sure you check the conditions in your area, before heading out for your Tuesday commute. There could be a few slick spots, depending on where you live. Have a good night, and a safe morning commute.
In the past 25 years (since 1990)… the coldest February Poughkeepsie has seen was February 1994, at 7.6 degrees below average. After 15 days, this February is outpacing that one by over 2 degrees. That’s how cold this February has been. A quick look at the HVW 5 Day Forecast will reveal that things aren’t going to change any time soon. The cold is here to stay… and like the family black sheep at a holiday party… the cold has worn out it’s welcome.
In addition to the brutal cold… a low pressure system will move across the southern Ohio Valley on Monday. As it reaches the east coast, it will track northeast… likely impacting the Hudson Valley. The exact track is a bit uncertain. This graphic demonstrates the potential range of storm tracks, and potential impacts.
Most of the data supports the weaker option for the Hudson Valley, as the storm just doesn’t have enough energy to make the turn and come completely up the coast. However… there is some short range data that wants to pull additional moisture into the Hudson Valley, which could increase the impact on the Hudson Valley. Just something to keep in the back of your head for now. Here is the preliminary HVW Forecast for this event
Preliminary Storm Timeline
- Light snow enters the Hudson Valley from SW to NE between 12am and 3am.
- Light snow, could possibly become moderate for a brief time prior to sunrise (south of I-84).
- Snow tapers off Tuesday morning between 8am and 11am.
Preliminary Storm Impacts
- Very cold conditions, snow accumulates on all surfaces.
- Areas of snow covered roads expected… slick roadways.
- Light winds, minimal blowing or drifting of snow
- Some reduced visibilities, difficult travel
Preliminary Snow Accumulation
- Zones 1 & 2 : Dusting to 2 inches
- Zones 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 : Dusting to 3 inches (updated 12pm Mon)
- Zones 8 & 9 : 1 to 4 inches (updated 12pm Mon)
This storm is currently not looking like a major event for the Hudson Valley, but we will continue to monitor the event during the day on Monday. We’ll share updates, and any adjustments to the forecast. The main wildcard with this particular event, would be the storm tracking closer to the coast than expected. Stay posted for more updates…