A chilly but quite day across the region today, had some gusty winds impact the region overnight thanks to a frontal passage, but winds have died down a bit this morning. Temperatures will not be overly cold, with upper 20’s and low 30’s being the average. Our attention turns to Tuesday AM, a low pressure system cutting up into the Great Lakes. Just like they have so many times this winter, our region will be on the warm side of the storm. As the warm front lifts into our region it will ride over the top of the cold air that was just reinforced overnight. Now this air is by no means arctic, nor does it have much holding power, but there will be just enough of it hanging around to cause the onset of precipitation to fall as sleet and freezing rain before daybreak tomorrow in some areas…
The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Greene, Columbia, Delaware, Sullivan, Ulster and Dutchess and a freezing rain advisory for Orange County. The cold air is modeled to vacate fairly quickly, so accumulations look light with a general trace to and inch or two, with ice accretion as well.
The morning commute looks like it could be impacted in parts of the area… with much improved conditions by late morning. As we have with previous storms this year, we will need to watch if the cold air is a bit more stubborn and therefore extends the period of frozen precipitation tomorrow, but either way everyone will eventually turn to plain rain as the morning progresses.
Next period of interest begins Wednesday Night into Thursday, we are monitoring the potential for a wave of low pressure to devlop along a stalled boundary offshore. Some guidance brings this wave far enough north to spread a plowable snowfall into our region, others keep the wave further south with little or no impact. The details of this system should become clearer over the next 12-24 hours and we will have an update on this potential later today. Everyone have a great day and stay tuned!