•Winter weather advisories continue for our southern zones
•Our first burst of snow is currently moving through the region and has put down just enough snow to make for some icy travel
•Thanks to very cold surface temps the snow has had no issues accumulating on all surfaces
•Snow had to battle some very dry air at the onset which lead to a delay in the snow reaching the ground, we also lost some accumulation to evaporation
•Snow is expected to redevelop around noon and may fall moderately till about 3-5 PM before ending
•Due to the late start to the precipitation and in looking at the most current data, it appears accumulations across most of the region will fall in the 2-4 inch range, with some localized amounts approaching 6 inches.
•With snow ending as the sun sets and temps dropping into the 20’s overnight we will have some icy travel continuing into the overnight
•Some snow and rain is possible tomorrow although no accumulation is likely in the valley, the higher elevations of the Catskills may see a few inches
•High temps tomorrow will spike above 40 degrees so any snow that does mix with rain will not accumulate in the lower elevations
•Upcoming warmer temps coupled with a few chances of rain means you should make sure to clear your storm drains to avoid isolated flooding
Well, a glance out the window clearly shows that it is one again snowing outside, although this is not expected to be a major storm, it is enough to cause more delays, cancellations and travel headaches. Snow may taper off a bit by mid to late morning but is expected to rapidly redevelop by around noon time and fall light to moderately across the region before ending. I am not impressed by the looks of the system or the current radar at the moment and I feel a lowering of snow totals is warranted. There was a lot of chatter about the whether or not we would up our snow totals, and the reason we stuck with 3-6 was this very concern we are seeing this morning. It is more realistic to say 1-4 inches of snow will fall across most of the region while a few spots may hit 6 inches, most will not come close. Looking ahead we still are on track for a nice, but potentially brief warmup across the region with temps breaking into the 40’s starting tomorrow and linger into the start of next week before cold air returns. Wish I could tell you that winter is over, but there are indications that much colder air may force into the region which will once again set the stage for more snow, we will take an in-depth look into the long range in tonights blog post, so stay tuned.
As a side note, we have received countless emails,messages and posts about updates on this current storm, and we ask that you simply read the latest FB post or blog entry and know that if either one states “no changes” or has not been updated it simply means nothing has changed. It is a bit redundant to update a blog every six hours and simply restate the same information about the same storm multiple times. Please trust that if there were ever any major changes to the forecast that this will always be the first place you will hear it, it is not uncommon for the National Weather Service to not update its forecast for 12 hours at a time for this exact reason. Use this current storm as an example, the forecast for the last 4 days has been for snow to develop sometime after midnight and continue into mid to late afternoon with 3-6 inches of accumulations with locally higher amounts possible. The forecast as of this morning is that snow has developed across the region and will not end till about 3-5 pm with anywhere from 2-4 inches accumulating and up to 6 possible in some locations. With that said we have received messages from people saying that since there was no update since 8PM last night that they had to get their forecast elsewhere? Please take a moment to know that all of our blog entries are saved in the order they are posted so previous ones can be read, also please refer to FB posts for the forecast as well, and not just what shows in your FB feed because FB likes to reduce what reaches everyones page so its best to visit the page directly. If either one has not been updated then it’s usually safe to assume that the latest information you do see is still the most relevant and the forecast has not changed.