Today will likely be one of the warmest if not the warmest day so far of the season. The mercury across most valley locations will soar into the low 90’s. When you combine these temps with high humidity it will feel like the upper 90’s to near 100 degrees. With these warm temps comes good instability and the increasing chance of showers and storms. While this threat looks best for Wednesday and Thursday we cannot rule out a isolated storms this afternoon. Any storms that do form will be capable of producing gusty winds and heavy rainfall. In other news, there is an 80% chance that we will have our first tropical storm of the season by day end. Currently named TD1 (first tropical depression) this mass of clouds as seen in the below image will continue to organize its circulation and build deeper convection as it moves through favorable atmospheric conditions and warm Atlantic water.
This storm will then potentially strengthen into a weak hurricane as it passes close to the Outer Banks of North Carolina. From here it is expected to be nudged out to sea by the same cold front that will bring storms to our region Wed/Thur.
At the moment we are only monitoring the chance that Arthur may leave us a bit cloudy on July 4th. Otherwise if your holiday weekend plans bring you to the beach then be aware of high surf and rip currents.