•Freezing rain advisories in effect for Rockland,Orange,Sullivan and Delaware Counties
•Snow has cleared the region and most locations have seen an average of 2-4 inches with some higher elevations reporting more
•Sub freezing temps overnight will prolong slick travel in the region into the morning commute
•Freezing rain and freezing drizzle is possible for a few hours tomorrow morning, rising temps into the 40’s will eventually neutralize the threat, please use caution if traveling tomorrow AM, remember that air temps can be above freezing, if surfaces are still 32 degrees or less, any rain that falls can freeze on contact.
•Warmer temps invade the region starting tomorrow and linger into the beginning of next week
•A combination of warmer temps and the potential for rain associated with a passing cold front on friday, may lead to isolated flooding issues, this will also increase the weight of the current snow load on houses and other structures
•Temps will average in the low to mid 40’s between tomorrow and Sunday, enjoy it while you can
•Current data suggests that our friend the polar vortex will be returning temps across the region back to early January with colder temps linger into the beginning of March
The region has added another 2-5 inches to its already impressive snow pack today, but the snow pack will be on the defensive for the next five days. Tomorrow marks the first day of our stretch of warmer temps, we will see highs in the low to mid 40’s, and lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s during this timeframe. These warmer temperatures in combination with the threat for moderate to heavy rain on Friday will certainly work together to lower the snowpack across the region, although a good portion may survive. With the threat for rain and a large amount of water locked in the snowpack we will need to be aware of the potential for localized flooding due to blocked storm drains and frozen ground. Now your probably wondering, what happens after the warm up? Unfortunately it appears to come to an abrupt end by the beginning of next week as our recently made popular friend, the Polar Vortex makes another appearance. This will once again drive temps into the teens and twenties and lows potentially returning to below zero across the region, this cold snap looks to linger at least into the beginning of March. You may likely begin to hear chatter about a “big” storm for next week, as you all know, forecasting beyond 3 days is an inaccurate at best. With that said, one of the model guidance systems has been trying to spin up a storm off the NC coast on Wednesday of next week, it has not shown the system impacting the Northeast, it simply brings it out to sea. We will monitor the situation and once we get to a point that things are within a reasonable amount of time to forecast we will be all over getting out the details.
Lets take a look into the future to see why everyone should enjoy the next five days of forty degree weather while it lasts. Below are two images from the European model showing high temps on Saturday and the potential low temps four days later, winter isn’t done with the HV just yet.
Sorry for the bad news to all the folks who are done with winter, and your welcome to everyone who hoped it wasn’t over, we will have more on the returning cold weather tomorrow.