•Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for the entire region
•As forecasted a lull in the precipitation has developed
•Most of the region has already recieved 9-13 inches of snow on average
•Snow will redevelop across the region between 8PM-10PM
•Snow may fall very heavy at times with snowfall rates potentially exceeding 3 inches per hour
•Heaviest bands of snow may be accompanied with thunder and lightening
•A North to South oriented snow band will park itself along the entire HV overnight
•Additional accumulations of 6-12 inches are likely, while the potential exist for over a foot of additional snowfall
•Heavy snow may try to linger to just before daybreak on friday, before ending from west to east
•As the Nor Easter passed to our east and bombs out (rapidly deepens its central pressure) winds will continue to increase, gusts may top 30MPH overnight
•Gusty winds combined with high snowfall rates will lead to near blizzard conditions overnight
•If this band does in fact produce the snowfall accumulations it is forecasting we will be looking at one of our most significant storms we have seen
•Total accumulations from this storm of 15-24″+ possible
•Were gonna need a bigger Gnome!
Below is an image from the HRRR model, it is a short range, high resolution model that is designed to pick up on small details like topography and banding. As you can see, in some cases the 6-12 inches of additional snowfall is a low estimate. We will need to monitor the radar over the next few hours to get a handle on how this second round will set itself up, you can see it is not a very wide band and its specific location will determine the heaviest snowfall. At the moment is appears that 20-30 or so miles on either side of the Hudson River may be the bullseye.
If you want to watch this second round come together just take a look at the current radar, the band of snow across PA and the convection building to our south are the players that will come together to create this next blast of snow.