While rain is scattered and light this evening, heavier rain is in route for Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening. Flood watches are in effect for the entire region with 1.2″ to as much as 3″+ inches possible across the region. Rain looks to become steady and heavy between 8AM and 12PM and continue into the overnight. Winds will also be gusty at times, especially during period of heavier rain and won’t begin to diminish to overnight, winds will average 20-35 MPH with higher gusts possible across the higher terrain. At the moment it appears the eastern Catskills will see the heaviest rainfall due to terrain enhanced rainfall that may cause rainfall to exceed four inches in these area, this will also enhance downstream flood potential. A look at the river forecasts across the region show that most are forecasted to have within bank rises with localized flooding being the biggest concern. Please stay tuned to the website alerts on the top of the website for any future flood advisories or warnings, the incoming rain can also be tracked on the new, interactive HVW radar.
A look at the simulated radar for 10AM tomorrow shows some of the heavier rain moving into the region:
Here is the total forecasted precipitation from the NAM model, you can clearly see the enhanced rainfall across the peaks of the Eastern Catskills: