The remnants of Hurricane Irma have created a weak trough in the eastern US, and has brought us this warm, muggy and unstable weather pattern…
Low clouds will hang on across the Hudson Valley on Friday. Winds will be light and variable, and will not do much to help mix up the atmosphere. So we’ll expect mostly cloudy skies to be the story on Friday, with few (if any) breaks of sunshine. Dew points will be in the mid 60s, and afternoon highs should push toward 80°. That warmth will once again lead to spotty areas of showers and thundershowers during the afternoon, much like what we saw on Thursday. Anyone with outdoor plans, it won’t be a washout… but it will be unsettled, and you could have a rain delay.
As we look to the weekend, the trough from Irma will begin to slowly lift out to the northeast. But without a new frontal system to push in, our weather pattern won’t change too quickly. Looking at both Saturday and Sunday… we’ll see the clouds mixing with sunshine, but the warmth and the muggy air mass will not be quick to exit. It won’t be a hot weekend, but it will feel summer-like at times.
The Headache Named Jose
The trough that developed due to the remnants of Irma, prevented Jose from pushing toward the US. As a result, it stalled out and has been relatively stationary. But we’ll begin to see the remnants of Irma push northeast and into the Atlantic Ocean, and that will once again give Jose a chance to push NW and north.
The trick is, that as another boundary pushes by to our north over the weekend, we need it to pick up Jose and steer it eastward. That’s looking less likely to happen, and without something steering Jose out to sea… it could become a coastal headache for the Mid Atlantic and Northeast late next week…
The bark from this image is worse than the bite… as Jose does seem likely to strengthen as it pushes north. However, as it nears the coastline, it will run into MUCH cooler waters, which should weaken it, in addition to some extra shear likely coming into play. Another incoming trough would likely slow Jose’s progression toward the coast, and weaken the system.
So if Jose does track close to the coast, the strength and intensity of the winds would likely become diminished. We’ll certainly be watching this, but the ‘headache’ may become a migraine over the weekend. We’ll keep you posted.
Have a great Friday!