Friday: Early morning snow showers… clouds and sun for the afternoon, with a flurry possible. Cold. High around 30°. NW wind 5 to 10mph (Wind Chill 20° to 25°). A dusting possible.
Friday Night: Variable cloudiness and very cold. Low in the mid 10s. NW wind around 5mph.
Saturday: Becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of light snow during the afternoon… especially in southern areas (40% chance). Very cold. High in the mid 20s. Wind Chill in the low 20s.
We’ll have a rather snowy start across much of the Hudson Valley on Friday, as a weak storm system to our south, pushes out to sea. It will spread some light snow showers across the region… just enough to possibly cause some travel delays and headaches for the Friday AM commute.
But that pushes out early in the morning, and clouds will gradually mix wish sun… and a cold day with highs around 30° sets up. That points us to Saturday, and the lurking storm system off the east coast…
This storm appears that it will NOT get close enough to impact the Hudson Valley. It’s going to be a close call… and we won’t right it off completely. However, at this point… we have a lot of experience with these systems, and these type of setups. Some of the data does show the Hudson Valley get clipped by the very western edge of the storm as it passes by. Almost every time… this is an illusion. When the storm actually plays out, the models overestimate the western extent of the snowfall… and underestimate the cold dry air in place. The result most times, is perhaps a dusting… or just a few flakes in the Hudson Valley, but nothing more.
The best chance for anything… is in SE Orange, Rockland, Putnam and Westchester counties (zones 8 & 9). As the storm moves northeast, if it can exceed expectations and get even closer to the coast… a dusting to 2 inches wouldn’t be impossible. There would be a sharp cutoff between decent snowfall, and nearly nothing… so Westchester county especially would need to pay close attention.
Let us be clear… with any coastal storm, you don’t let your guard down, until the storm has passed by… data can always change. But this has all the markings of a “close call”. The SE Hudson Valley (well south of I-84) could be on the extreme NW fringe of the storm as we just mentioned… and see a dusting to an inch or so. But the majority of us, will just wave as the storm goes by. So for our latest thoughts on the weekend, please check out the HVW 5 DAY FORECAST… and should anything change, we will be sure to let you know.