Happy Friday Hudson Valley! We’re transitioning the HVW 5 day forecast page, and wanted to start the post with a snapshot. Ultimately, we may have one or two kinks to work thru over the next couple weeks, but the hope is to have the best 5 day forecast you can find, with all the details you need. Please check it out, and let us know what you think. A quiet day of weather for the Hudson Valley on Thursday, in fact… about as average a day as you can have… as both the high and the low were right on the money.
Now we move toward Friday, and sunshine will quickly disappear behind clouds, as the next storm system approaches.
Our first wave of showers pushes into the Hudson Valley late in the afternoon to early evening on Friday. Some patchy sleet and wet snow could mix in at the beginning… especially in the Catskills. From there… some showers thru Friday night, and into Saturday morning. Steadier rain moves in by mid to late morning on Saturday. Steady rain continues thru the afternoon and into Saturday night. All together, over 1 inch of much needed rain is possible.
From there, attention turns to Monday night and Tuesday. A very complicated and unusual situation looks likely to develop, and unravelling the pieces will be a challenge in the coming days. In short, the storm from Saturday will exit the east coast… then drift south over the Atlantic Ocean before nearly stalling out. From there, it could begin to move north once again. If cold air is in place, it could be a winter storm. Here is one of the few European model images we can show you, projecting Tuesday morning.
We’ve added some commentary to this European model image, for clarification. This solution shows a storm track up the east coast, and spread moisture into colder air. Under this scenario, the Hudson Valley is the battleground between rain and snow. This will be one of the major details we’ll need to fine tune. It’s something we must watch… because if all the pieces come together, it could be a major headache for us.
So clearly… nothing at all going on in the weather world. Alex and I are going to hop on a flight to the Caribbean, seeing how you won’t be needing us for a while (heavy sarcasm). Only 2 or 3 days ago, the data pointed toward some quiet weather… that was before the models began to see a major dip in the Jet Stream off the east coast… and that changes everything. We’ll keep you posted on this… and update you in the Saturday Outlook. Thanks for all the support… and TGIF!