After a tremendously warm day across the region, one that smashed record highs dating back to the late 1800’s in Central Park and broke additional records across the North East, things are a bit different this morning. Temps were still in the 50’s around 10pm last night, but while most of us slept, a cold front sweeped through the region overnight. Winds have shifted out of the NW and dropped temps some 20° already. Temps will continue to drop thoughout the day as colder air continues to advect into the region.
Cant rule out some clouds and a passing snow shower or snow squall as our NW winds pick up some moisture during their journey across the Great Lakes. The cold air mass will linger through the weekend and into Monday but our warmer weather will return. A mild period in mid January has been pretty well advertised and is very much expected at this point. Well above average temps will once again enter the forecast next week and linger though to about the 20-22 of the month.
Beyond that period we are beginning to see some very favorable signals in the upper atmosphere that may bring us into a colder and stormier period to close out January. The staying power of this pattern change may last through Feb and into Mar. Long range forecasting is highly variable and has low confidence, especially the smaller details, but something like a pattern change is a bit easier to see in a longer term forecast. So for you snow lovers, hope is not lost, we have seen some very snow winters that did not start till mid or late January, so keep your heads up. Snow haters, I guess you can bet against us and maybe we will be wrong, nature always does have the upper hand.
Anyway, everyone enjoy their Friday, remember that it’s a bit more like winter out there today and dress accordingly.